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 | Boston Real Estate | Boston Homes | Boston Condos | Boston Realtor |
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The button you just clicked on is bringing you to a bit of commentary on where the Boston real estate market is going.
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Boston Homes
The valuations of Boston Homes fluctuate inscrutably like the stock market. My advice is to not put too fine a point on timing the Boston real estate market. No one really knows where its going. For instance from 1986 to 1996 very few homeowners experienced any price appreciation on their properties while from 1996 to 2006 most homeowners experienced a double, triple and even some quadruple increases in market value.
I'm not aware of anyone who predicted this would happen in either decade.
Boston Condos
Since there are 2000 Boston Condos for sale and only 400 single family homes on the "all available" list, most Boston Homes are condos. Our closest link to truth is to look at what has sold in the last 12 months. Coming at the property from an investment/commodity point of view, like a stock, I come at the valuation from a number of directions.
My goal is to make sure you are not overpaying at present valuations.
Before I started in Boston real estate, I was a stock trader and I bring my ability to do the quantitative
and fundamental analysis to bear in a different market with many similarities.
It seems to me that most real estate agents are trying to sell property.
Here is where I stand out as the only Boston Buyers Agent practicing this high level of advocacy.
Its not a complex problem, it only takes me about 30 minutes with a computer
to place a valuation on a property and then I objectively share that with my buyers. |

Helping you buy right is my #1 responsibility

There is certainly no way to predict the future, all I can do is get the price down as far as possible in case my buyer has to sell it before the usual 5 years that we think of as the minimum holding time to get the average price appreciation of 5 to 6% per year in real estate. I give my buyers a figure, sometimes a short range and then I let them decide where their offer price should be.
There is certainly nothing wrong with overpaying a bit for a property but there is something wrong if you don't know that that is what you are doing.
The old saying goes: "You don't make money in real estate when you sell. You make money in real estate when you buy". Buying right is everything!
If you know for certain that the price you are paying equals prices paid for similar properties close by recently it is very reassuring indeed. The quantitative analysis that I do is something like a Real Estate Appraiser would do but more closely connected to what the market is saying.

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Buyers, Be Represented,Not Sold
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For more market savvy articles and discussion check out our Boston Real Estate Blog
Boston Real Estate
How to Get the Lowest Prices
by Buying Boston Homes in the Winter
Using this timing can work with buying real estate in any large metro area in cold winter cities
All 28 downtown Boston neighborhoods as well as Boston Suburb listings often go begging for buyers from November 1st to January 15th. In good years and bad, these 75 days are always a buyer's market in the Boston area, at least since the early 90's.
This cycle is pretty obvious, and very playable, the average list price from June 1st 2008 to August 15th 2008 was $374 per sq ft in Boston while from November 1st 2008 to January 1st 2009 the average list price was only $279 per sq. ft. That's 34% less! This is more than usual as the economy took a hit in that same time frame. So lets go back to the boom in 2005 and pull the same numbers. Between May 2005 and August 2005 the average price per sq. ft. listed for Boston Real Estate was $454 per sq ft while the 75 days between November 2005 and January 15th 2006 it was $406 per sq. ft.,so even in a strongly rising market there is usually at least 10% that is very much yours if you buy in the winter.
So where are the Boston Real Estate buyers in November and December?
At the risk of sounding glib, they all either paid too much in the summer or are waiting to pay too much next summer!
Why is it so hard to buy real estate in the winter?
It feels uncomfortable for many because buying a home in the winter, goes against the grain psychologically and emotionally. This is especially true in cold winter cities like Boston, Chicago and New York City. The instinct is to hunker down and stay put for the winter. Its going to get cold and there will be large heating bills and life gets harder. That probably goes back through the millennia. Who wants to change their cave in a snowstorm?
Part of being a good buyer in markets like Boston area real estate is to be willing to buy when no one else wants to.
If you have been monitoring Boston Area MLS Listings, you will notice a drop in inventory from June levels to November levels and also a drop in prices. Bottom line is, if you can find the layout you want in the neighborhood you like, the lowest prices per square foot are achieved in November and December each and every year.
Finding the right layout is the biggest problem of course with the smaller selection, but if the number of properties is down by 50% during this time the available pool of eligible buyers seems to go down 95%! I say "seems to" as I can't quantify it so the stat is anecdotal, something Buyers Agents usually avoid, but I'm sure you get the point. If you can find a layout that can work for you, you should be able to buy it for 20% less money than in the spring/summer months
So why doesn't everyone buy in the autumn/winter months?
Buyers are very human and its surprisingly hard to go against the grain and buy a home in the middle of the cold holiday season. It can feel awkward even if you've been planning to do so all year. When November comes you find yourself distracted by the holidays and wanting to hunker down yourself.
Its not as easy as it sounds strictly from a psychological and emotional perspective. Knowing you can buy cheaper is one thing, executing the purchase is another. It may take some discipline to go against your own 10,000 year old instincts to stay in your cave when its cold, but if you can do it your odds are better for buying some Boston area real estate at a discount.

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Find out more about how I can save you
money during your Boston real estate
search by contacting me today at
(617) 512-3443
Jeff Persons - Boston Realtor 
Copyright © Jeff Persons 2010 Boston Real Estate
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Jeff Persons
Accredited Buyer's Agent

RE/MAX Destiny
WeSellBoston.Net
Boston Real Estate
Jeff Persons
Boston Realtor®
Cambridge Office
907 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge MA 02139
Phone: 617-512-3443
Email: JPersons@aol.com
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